Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.059164 0.067044 0.075097 0.083911 0.093258 0.102847 0.113400
2025-09-14 0.047333 0.058962 0.071413 0.085600 0.101188 0.117684 0.136352
2025-09-21 0.040904 0.055052 0.070764 0.089202 0.109975 0.132415 0.158264
2025-09-28 0.034846 0.050532 0.068559 0.090277 0.115266 0.142722 0.174798
2025-10-05 0.033433 0.051102 0.071890 0.097369 0.127081 0.160070 0.198943
2025-10-12 0.028304 0.046553 0.068717 0.096499 0.129453 0.166518 0.210652
2025-10-19 0.025184 0.044177 0.067882 0.098146 0.134531 0.175869 0.225484
2025-10-26 0.021990 0.041361 0.066240 0.098600 0.138026 0.183257 0.237957
2025-11-02 0.019610 0.039397 0.065487 0.099986 0.142502 0.191683 0.251537
2025-11-09 0.016973 0.036792 0.063704 0.099926 0.145110 0.197823 0.262392
2025-11-16 0.013667 0.032817 0.059833 0.097006 0.144054 0.199499 0.267929
2025-11-23 0.010960 0.029404 0.056477 0.094545 0.143402 0.201527 0.273767
2025-11-30 0.009385 0.027738 0.055584 0.095423 0.147110 0.209047 0.286431
2025-12-07 0.008214 0.026626 0.055425 0.097261 0.152050 0.218108 0.301007
2025-12-14 0.007671 0.026579 0.056786 0.101124 0.159549 0.230276 0.319291
2025-12-21 0.006561 0.025287 0.056198 0.102275 0.163546 0.238156 0.332448
2025-12-28 0.006968 0.027051 0.060277 0.109854 0.175819 0.256173 0.357753
2026-01-04 0.005569 0.024907 0.058248 0.108926 0.177080 0.260666 0.366836
2026-01-11 0.004851 0.024073 0.058185 0.110683 0.181783 0.269366 0.380956
2026-01-18 0.003998 0.022753 0.057260 0.111168 0.184785 0.275938 0.392493
2026-01-25 0.003404 0.021922 0.057064 0.112647 0.189063 0.284074 0.405908
2026-02-01 0.002673 0.020526 0.055839 0.112583 0.191260 0.289588 0.416121
2026-02-08 0.001721 0.018062 0.052608 0.109466 0.189295 0.289813 0.419825